PnL (30d)

+$4,943

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$59

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

771W / 421L · 126 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

814W / 502L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

1,318

across 144 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$42.24

avg win $80 · loss $62

Profit Factor

3.56

$6,873 won / $1,931 lost

Reward / Risk

1.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$126

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.7% 771W/421L	144	$203,235
🏛 Politics	—	10	$7,404
₿ Crypto	—	8	$1,988
⚽ Sports	75.0% 3W/1L	4	$308
💵 Economy	—	3	$6,089
🎬 Culture	—	1	$14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	1,184	0.942	$1,115.07	$21.83	+2.0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	1,169	0.954	$1,114.27	$14.27	+1.3%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	911	0.984	$896.65	$11.15	+1.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,600	0.515	$824.00	$96.00	+13.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	860	0.925	$795.28	$31.28	+4.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	812	0.961	$780.31	$12.07	+1.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	794	0.920	$730.28	$36.28	+5.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	732	0.960	$702.46	$41.46	+6.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,400	0.455	$637.17	$-147.04	-18.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	524	0.976	$511.54	$11.54	+2.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	504	0.991	$499.50	$-0.50	-0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	511	0.958	$489.47	$40.97	+9.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	415	0.885	$367.58	$17.58	+5.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	316	0.968	$305.87	$5.87	+2.0%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	311	0.945	$293.45	$2.95	+1.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	279	0.845	$235.72	$35.72	+17.9%
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	220	0.971	$213.30	$13.30	+6.6%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	328	0.605	$198.63	$10.92	+5.8%
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	208	0.935	$194.04	$12.04	+6.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	137	0.755	$103.42	$3.42	+3.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	110	0.915	$100.55	$0.55	+0.5%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	100	0.978	$97.75	$3.55	+3.8%
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	220	0.398	$87.64	$0.03	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.425	$42.50	$28.00	+193.1%