| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
385 |
0.992 |
$381.90 |
$340.80 |
+829.3% |
| Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? |
No |
340 |
0.883 |
$300.21 |
$3.35 |
+1.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
440 |
0.655 |
$287.87 |
$5.30 |
+1.9% |
| Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? |
Yes |
282 |
0.955 |
$269.61 |
$70.08 |
+35.1% |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? |
No |
1,000 |
0.260 |
$259.97 |
$32.24 |
+14.2% |
| Will Carmela Conroy advance to the general election for WA-05? |
Yes |
360 |
0.690 |
$248.36 |
$7.16 |
+3.0% |
| Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? |
No |
256 |
0.966 |
$247.72 |
$49.96 |
+25.3% |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? |
Yes |
610 |
0.405 |
$246.88 |
$79.20 |
+47.2% |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? |
No |
240 |
0.895 |
$215.16 |
$15.86 |
+8.0% |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
Yes |
489 |
0.405 |
$198.07 |
$12.26 |
+6.6% |
| Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? |
No |
194 |
0.987 |
$191.55 |
$40.00 |
+26.4% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
205 |
0.932 |
$191.36 |
$16.43 |
+9.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
198 |
0.963 |
$190.81 |
$29.16 |
+18.0% |
| Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%? |
No |
300 |
0.635 |
$190.50 |
$-23.62 |
-11.0% |
| Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09? |
No |
221 |
0.835 |
$184.34 |
$3.26 |
+1.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
204 |
0.875 |
$178.44 |
$43.09 |
+31.8% |
| Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.880 |
$176.28 |
$13.04 |
+8.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? |
No |
196 |
0.895 |
$175.10 |
$24.34 |
+16.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? |
No |
197 |
0.887 |
$174.55 |
$8.30 |
+5.0% |
| Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
196 |
0.855 |
$167.72 |
$24.73 |
+17.3% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
195 |
0.845 |
$164.87 |
$6.27 |
+4.0% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.825 |
$164.83 |
$23.02 |
+16.2% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.735 |
$146.82 |
$29.98 |
+25.7% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.360 |
$144.00 |
$1.85 |
+1.3% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
195 |
0.730 |
$142.25 |
$15.89 |
+12.6% |