PnL (30d)

−$109

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

18W / 20L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

18W / 25L

Trades (30d)

43

across 21 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$5.45

avg win $10 · loss $34

Profit Factor

0.54

$130 won / $239 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$83

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.7% 515W/1,165L	436	$14,522
🌤 Weather	30.8% 8W/18L	10	$228
🎬 Culture	22.2% 2W/7L	6	$262
🏛 Politics	28.6% 2W/5L	5	$376
🤖 Tech	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$73

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?	No	60	0.830	$49.79	$-3.00	-5.7%