| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
No |
4,553 |
0.954 |
$4,343.55 |
$240.92 |
+5.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,512 |
0.930 |
$2,337.51 |
$255.60 |
+12.3% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
2,322 |
0.970 |
$2,251.43 |
$147.16 |
+7.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
1,572 |
0.790 |
$1,242.13 |
$220.85 |
+21.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
1,629 |
0.665 |
$1,083.44 |
$-68.24 |
-5.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,260 |
0.835 |
$1,052.10 |
$117.90 |
+12.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
2,766 |
0.375 |
$1,037.19 |
$-265.77 |
-20.4% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,142 |
0.840 |
$958.91 |
$122.41 |
+14.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
1,040 |
0.790 |
$821.74 |
$73.43 |
+9.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,086 |
0.675 |
$732.87 |
$-19.50 |
-2.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? |
No |
763 |
0.860 |
$656.06 |
$112.06 |
+20.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? |
No |
835 |
0.785 |
$655.84 |
$116.59 |
+21.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
600 |
0.973 |
$583.50 |
$16.90 |
+3.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
650 |
0.885 |
$575.25 |
$9.75 |
+1.7% |
| Blue wave in 2026? |
Yes |
735 |
0.745 |
$547.58 |
$224.38 |
+69.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
960 |
0.485 |
$465.57 |
$81.30 |
+21.2% |
| Human moon landing in 2026? |
No |
455 |
0.982 |
$447.00 |
$29.77 |
+7.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
441 |
0.950 |
$418.99 |
$23.69 |
+6.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.485 |
$339.50 |
$62.50 |
+22.6% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
649 |
0.515 |
$334.38 |
$-54.97 |
-14.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
318 |
0.964 |
$306.68 |
$21.83 |
+7.7% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
300 |
0.825 |
$247.35 |
$11.55 |
+4.9% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
264 |
0.935 |
$246.77 |
$31.85 |
+14.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? |
No |
266 |
0.829 |
$220.26 |
$36.32 |
+19.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.875 |
$201.25 |
$3.75 |
+1.9% |