| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
290 |
0.966 |
$280.00 |
$4.22 |
+1.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
266 |
0.865 |
$230.20 |
$0.75 |
+0.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
210 |
0.860 |
$180.60 |
$-1.50 |
-0.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
174 |
0.945 |
$164.66 |
$11.54 |
+7.5% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
No |
175 |
0.905 |
$158.28 |
$1.98 |
+1.3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
160 |
0.977 |
$156.23 |
$1.57 |
+1.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
No |
160 |
0.945 |
$151.20 |
$53.40 |
+54.6% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
140 |
0.984 |
$137.76 |
$2.34 |
+1.7% |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
136 |
0.978 |
$133.37 |
$3.76 |
+2.9% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? |
No |
128 |
0.974 |
$124.21 |
$2.05 |
+1.7% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
No |
130 |
0.885 |
$115.05 |
$1.85 |
+1.6% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.982 |
$110.04 |
$2.26 |
+2.1% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
120 |
0.890 |
$106.80 |
$12.60 |
+13.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
105 |
0.973 |
$102.53 |
$3.01 |
+3.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.990 |
$98.95 |
$4.09 |
+4.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.987 |
$98.65 |
$4.25 |
+4.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? |
No |
100 |
0.986 |
$98.55 |
$0.65 |
+0.7% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? |
No |
100 |
0.980 |
$98.00 |
$-0.20 |
-0.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.962 |
$96.15 |
$2.95 |
+3.2% |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
95 |
0.905 |
$85.97 |
$0.82 |
+1.0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.994 |
$84.99 |
$3.81 |
+4.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
80 |
0.989 |
$79.08 |
$4.58 |
+6.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.976 |
$78.04 |
$5.25 |
+7.2% |
| OpenAI acquired before 2027? |
No |
80 |
0.960 |
$76.93 |
$2.13 |
+2.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.991 |
$74.29 |
$3.41 |
+4.8% |