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Trader leaderboard/bonalddrunk

bonalddrunk

0x3089e1a6e3e9122c328aebe47b86ff5e13b292f6
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$639
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$844
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
61W / 27L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
69W / 35L
Trades (30d)
104
across 16 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$71.00
avg win $283 · loss $172
Profit Factor
0.47
$565 won / $1,204 lost
Reward / Risk
1.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $24,634 · all-time $641,634

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.8% 196W/206L 140 $88,985
⚽ Sports 50.0% 1W/1L 11 $4,223
🎬 Culture 23.5% 4W/13L 8 $646
🏛 Politics 80.0% 4W/1L 7 $1,766
💵 Economy 22.2% 4W/14L 6 $1,399
🤖 Tech 57.7% 15W/11L 3 $2,301

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

73 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? No 3,071 0.710 $2,180.54 $383.69 +21.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 5,268 0.385 $2,028.08 $-184.37 -8.3%
Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No 2,107 0.960 $2,021.66 $441.86 +28.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 1,408 0.975 $1,372.99 $886.48 +182.2%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? No 1,572 0.785 $1,234.36 $381.05 +44.7%
Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28? No 1,081 0.950 $1,026.39 $21.08 +2.1%
Will Chuk Anyanwu win Big Brother season 28? No 960 0.951 $912.74 $28.46 +3.2%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,495 0.538 $804.93 $311.66 +63.2%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 833 0.785 $653.90 $89.16 +15.8%
Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? No 723 0.760 $549.82 $187.90 +51.9%
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 518 1.000 $518.13 $141.72 +37.7%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? No 8,474 0.048 $402.50 $-777.40 -65.9%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next? No 368 0.883 $325.24 $1.33 +0.4%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 332 0.865 $287.11 $28.21 +10.9%
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 281 1.000 $280.85 $24.69 +9.6%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? No 1,119 0.250 $279.76 $13.23 +5.0%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? No 287 0.939 $269.44 $-3.88 -1.4%
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 241 0.940 $226.93 $48.44 +27.1%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 1,320 0.162 $213.92 $-69.67 -24.6%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 221 0.960 $212.24 $-2.90 -1.3%
Will Chuk Anyanwu be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? No 214 0.983 $210.59 $0.93 +0.4%
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 212 0.966 $204.69 $11.55 +6.0%
Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? No 209 0.972 $203.47 $-1.28 -0.6%
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? No 256 0.765 $195.84 $-34.26 -14.9%
Will Rome Seymour win Big Brother season 28? No 159 0.999 $158.76 $5.64 +3.7%