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Trader leaderboard/thepolwinner

thepolwinner

0x3078db4a9737866b4d6529f655025b3a20f80389
PnL (30d)
+$936
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$24
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
8,588W / 9,135L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
8,588W / 9,144L · 33 open
Trades (30d)
17,765
across 521 markets · ~34 per market
EV / position
+$1.86
avg win $41 · loss $27
Profit Factor
1.12
$8,751 won / $7,815 lost
Reward / Risk
1.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$500
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $50,647,984

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.5% 8,588W/9,135L 521 $102,176
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $500

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 81 0.850 $68.78 $49.68 +260.1%
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 128 0.180 $23.12 $10.27 +80.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes 154 0.123 $19.01 $5.16 +37.2%
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes 140 0.135 $18.96 $-4.43 -18.9%
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes 181 0.100 $18.07 $3.61 +25.0%
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 87 0.195 $17.00 $4.80 +39.3%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 28 0.610 $16.92 $3.60 +27.1%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 59 0.255 $14.93 $3.22 +27.5%
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 113 0.125 $14.18 $-2.25 -13.7%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes 85 0.145 $12.30 $-21.62 -63.7%
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes 131 0.081 $10.58 $-3.88 -26.8%
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? No 181 0.051 $9.20 $-5.26 -36.4%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 140 0.064 $8.88 $-6.03 -40.4%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No 104 0.085 $8.81 $-0.61 -6.5%
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? Yes 119 0.070 $8.40 $-5.92 -41.3%
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes 80 0.100 $8.01 $-5.64 -41.3%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 168 0.034 $5.71 $-8.74 -60.5%
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes 54 0.095 $5.12 $-10.50 -67.2%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes 44 0.110 $4.86 $-2.85 -37.0%
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No 5 0.998 $4.81 $2.56 +113.8%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat? No 50 0.095 $4.75 $0.25 +5.6%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? No 4 0.998 $4.39 $2.54 +137.5%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 5 0.865 $4.30 $2.01 +88.0%
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 5 0.875 $4.23 $2.35 +124.3%
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.883 $4.21 $2.70 +178.8%