PnL (30d)

−$1,993

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-31.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

6W / 27L · 24 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

25W / 32L

Trades (30d)

57

across 13 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$284.67

avg win $131 · loss $839

Profit Factor

0.21

$526 won / $2,518 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.2% 6W/27L	13	$11,400
₿ Crypto	—	3	$2,553
💵 Economy	—	2	$1,513

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	12,202	0.972	$11,853.80	$1,503.01	+14.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	11,947	0.925	$11,050.60	$404.48	+3.8%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	6,375	0.951	$6,062.30	$490.79	+8.8%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	6,587	0.795	$5,236.52	$620.21	+13.4%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	4,101	0.885	$3,631.50	$205.49	+6.0%
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	3,199	0.925	$2,959.42	$335.93	+12.8%
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	2,913	0.795	$2,315.65	$108.41	+4.9%
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	2,412	0.880	$2,122.72	$1,528.80	+257.4%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	2,174	0.903	$1,964.19	$606.57	+44.7%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	1,346	0.925	$1,244.69	$169.38	+15.8%
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	831	0.875	$727.54	$96.60	+15.3%
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	449	0.988	$443.82	$71.48	+19.2%
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	410	0.954	$391.12	$42.45	+12.2%
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?	No	297	0.905	$268.89	$11.10	+4.3%
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	208	0.945	$196.95	$61.70	+45.6%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	291	0.675	$196.68	$-59.73	-23.3%
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?	No	258	0.660	$170.20	$-20.38	-10.7%
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	162	0.920	$148.72	$9.52	+6.8%
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	164	0.827	$135.44	$-6.87	-4.8%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	227	0.555	$125.89	$-47.75	-27.5%
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	112	0.805	$89.89	$-2.70	-2.9%
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	82	0.955	$78.01	$6.13	+8.5%
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?	No	78	0.705	$54.99	$6.63	+13.7%
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch	No	270	0.200	$54.00	$12.20	+29.2%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	24	0.840	$19.84	$17.71	+833.3%