Trader
0x304bf40e9e50c265f6dd86417707d5b41d8ea619
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$57
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
614W / 146L · 291 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
614W / 146L · 291 open
Trades (30d)
1,051
across 543 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.14
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.31
$25 won / $83 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$14
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,141 · all-time $117,881
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
65.0%
1,429W/768L
|
1412 |
$19,137 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
11.3%
6W/47L
|
24 |
$429 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6? |
No |
50 |
0.580 |
$29.00 |
$-3.00 |
-9.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6? |
No |
50 |
0.475 |
$23.75 |
$-3.75 |
-13.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 6? |
No |
50 |
0.455 |
$22.75 |
$-3.25 |
-12.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6? |
No |
39 |
0.515 |
$20.29 |
$-0.99 |
-4.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? |
No |
40 |
0.445 |
$17.80 |
$-2.60 |
-12.7% |