| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
5,214 |
0.993 |
$5,177.35 |
$1,089.71 |
+26.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,250 |
0.645 |
$3,386.23 |
$66.29 |
+2.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.835 |
$835.01 |
$193.79 |
+30.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,001 |
0.259 |
$775.69 |
$-12.26 |
-1.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
700 |
0.967 |
$676.93 |
$131.52 |
+24.1% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
401 |
0.785 |
$314.68 |
$108.26 |
+52.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.48 |
$74.50 |
+36.2% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
246 |
0.940 |
$230.83 |
$29.51 |
+14.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
223 |
0.865 |
$192.50 |
$57.07 |
+42.1% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
250 |
0.590 |
$147.50 |
$32.50 |
+28.3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.905 |
$108.60 |
$18.80 |
+20.9% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$91.99 |
$14.00 |
+17.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$18.50 |
+28.0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
120 |
0.280 |
$33.60 |
$19.20 |
+133.3% |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
50 |
0.565 |
$28.25 |
$3.25 |
+13.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.135 |
$13.45 |
$3.15 |
+30.6% |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.969 |
$6.71 |
$0.27 |
+4.1% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.025 |
$2.54 |
$-0.36 |
-12.4% |