| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
612 |
0.927 |
$567.27 |
$28.82 |
+5.4% |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
No |
410 |
0.991 |
$406.77 |
$170.31 |
+72.0% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
420 |
0.940 |
$394.80 |
$79.80 |
+25.3% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
461 |
0.835 |
$385.33 |
$67.26 |
+21.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
238 |
0.945 |
$225.00 |
$25.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
835 |
0.261 |
$217.48 |
$3.35 |
+1.6% |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
247 |
0.700 |
$172.80 |
$52.80 |
+44.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.795 |
$159.00 |
$55.00 |
+52.9% |
| Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026? |
No |
162 |
0.885 |
$143.78 |
$3.86 |
+2.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
180 |
0.670 |
$120.60 |
$14.40 |
+13.6% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
235 |
0.505 |
$118.53 |
$-47.16 |
-28.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? |
No |
106 |
0.865 |
$91.74 |
$20.68 |
+29.1% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? |
Yes |
283 |
0.275 |
$77.83 |
$-84.40 |
-52.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
121 |
0.430 |
$52.15 |
$-10.21 |
-16.4% |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? |
No |
103 |
0.380 |
$39.20 |
$-0.94 |
-2.3% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? |
Yes |
405 |
0.080 |
$32.37 |
$-148.62 |
-82.1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.675 |
$32.25 |
$20.07 |
+164.8% |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.945 |
$29.13 |
$19.89 |
+215.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.945 |
$23.62 |
$3.38 |
+16.7% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
Yes |
39 |
0.275 |
$10.78 |
$-0.42 |
-3.7% |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.895 |
$10.14 |
$6.40 |
+171.2% |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.060 |
$6.00 |
$-27.00 |
-81.8% |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.690 |
$5.86 |
$-0.77 |
-11.5% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.805 |
$4.30 |
$1.23 |
+40.2% |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.045 |
$3.60 |
$-15.81 |
-81.4% |