PnL (30d)

+$36

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$278

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

27W / 11L · 48 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

38W / 48L

Trades (30d)

86

across 18 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$5.19

avg win $51 · loss $110

Profit Factor

1.17

$256 won / $220 lost

Reward / Risk

0.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.1% 27W/11L	18	$5,544
💵 Economy	—	2	$131

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	510	0.962	$490.62	$28.56	+6.2%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	435	0.904	$393.03	$294.40	+298.5%
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	No	440	0.875	$384.99	$24.20	+6.7%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	400	0.886	$354.59	$67.01	+23.3%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	400	0.695	$277.80	$-5.40	-1.9%
ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	190	0.910	$172.90	$55.10	+46.8%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	165	0.905	$149.52	$49.52	+49.5%
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	No	200	0.685	$137.00	$20.80	+17.9%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	500	0.255	$127.50	$27.50	+27.5%
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	200	0.505	$101.00	$-1.00	-1.0%
What will be the next Fed rate change?	Cut	74	0.420	$31.27	$18.61	+147.1%
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	31	0.947	$29.37	$5.41	+22.6%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	122	0.185	$22.61	$-32.39	-58.9%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	68	0.145	$9.86	$-19.39	-66.3%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	200	0.033	$6.60	$0.80	+13.8%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	230	0.026	$6.09	$-41.89	-87.3%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	Yes	300	0.015	$4.35	$-1.65	-27.5%
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	4	0.705	$2.79	$1.13	+67.9%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?	No	2	0.790	$1.58	$0.58	+58.0%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?	No	2	0.770	$1.28	$0.51	+67.4%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	130	0.006	$0.84	$-19.34	-95.8%
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	197	0.004	$0.69	$-0.31	-31.2%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	43	0.006	$0.26	$-9.74	-97.4%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	30	0.005	$0.15	$-5.85	-97.5%