l3thar
0x2fadc932219a1244ecf34d7bfa15fe6dbb89f5c0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$114
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$51
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 6L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
26%
8W / 23L
Trades (30d)
31
across 3 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$113.94
· loss $114
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $114 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$114
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $38,089 · all-time $705,597
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
8,599 |
0.845 |
$7,265.91 |
$3,383.81 |
+87.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
10,253 |
0.260 |
$2,665.68 |
$-1,896.07 |
-41.6% |