| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
473 |
0.835 |
$395.36 |
$32.97 |
+9.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
356 |
0.935 |
$333.29 |
$13.22 |
+4.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
517 |
0.625 |
$323.12 |
$-147.34 |
-31.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
141 |
0.959 |
$135.15 |
$15.03 |
+12.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
132 |
0.987 |
$130.29 |
$6.03 |
+4.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
185 |
0.675 |
$125.04 |
$24.00 |
+23.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
131 |
0.865 |
$113.26 |
$4.65 |
+4.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
162 |
0.655 |
$106.25 |
$8.32 |
+8.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.961 |
$106.05 |
$0.03 |
+0.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
149 |
0.680 |
$101.60 |
$-5.33 |
-5.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
105 |
0.963 |
$100.91 |
$0.93 |
+0.9% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
108 |
0.935 |
$100.72 |
$0.84 |
+0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
257 |
0.385 |
$98.79 |
$2.70 |
+2.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
95 |
0.987 |
$93.51 |
$4.64 |
+5.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
81 |
0.855 |
$69.49 |
$3.67 |
+5.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.823 |
$66.04 |
$2.30 |
+3.6% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
68 |
0.964 |
$65.90 |
$6.80 |
+11.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
75 |
0.875 |
$65.46 |
$0.31 |
+0.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
76 |
0.850 |
$64.75 |
$4.87 |
+8.1% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
64 |
0.955 |
$61.10 |
$0.32 |
+0.5% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.945 |
$54.92 |
$1.24 |
+2.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
58 |
0.945 |
$54.51 |
$1.58 |
+3.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
56 |
0.952 |
$53.55 |
$0.06 |
+0.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
53 |
0.945 |
$50.11 |
$0.27 |
+0.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
51 |
0.972 |
$49.72 |
$0.47 |
+1.0% |