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Trader leaderboard/GUINESS123

GUINESS123

0x2f26606ccc45a934838a97d44a30c32012ae0d8f
PnL (30d)
−$17,808
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,945
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
12,513W / 14,267L · 1,002 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
13,223W / 14,463L · 96 open
Trades (30d)
27,782
across 4,469 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$4.15
avg win $45 · loss $51
Profit Factor
0.84
$93,796 won / $111,604 lost
Reward / Risk
0.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $27 · all-time $5,880,139

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.7% 12,513W/14,267L 4469 $553,578
🏛 Politics 3 $16
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $46

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? No 5,540 0.690 $3,822.05 $194.17 +5.4%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No 1,758 0.943 $1,657.79 $99.33 +6.4%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 1,811 0.885 $1,602.73 $445.69 +38.5%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 1,539 0.905 $1,392.80 $147.07 +11.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? No 2,383 0.535 $1,274.90 $-259.16 -16.9%
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 1,520 0.790 $1,200.80 $93.76 +8.5%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? No 1,524 0.755 $1,150.82 $21.50 +1.9%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? No 1,276 0.835 $1,065.46 $106.03 +11.1%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 1,288 0.746 $960.20 $289.00 +43.1%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 2,864 0.325 $930.80 $-75.10 -7.5%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? No 2,246 0.330 $741.17 $58.75 +8.6%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 724 0.938 $678.75 $74.61 +12.3%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No 1,101 0.585 $644.08 $143.37 +28.6%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 915 0.680 $622.20 $23.02 +3.8%
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 629 0.986 $620.30 $255.12 +69.9%
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 659 0.940 $619.46 $173.37 +38.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 1,699 0.357 $606.54 $-31.80 -5.0%
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? Yes 554 0.970 $537.38 $153.81 +40.1%
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No 600 0.830 $498.00 $124.61 +33.4%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No 1,596 0.310 $494.61 $33.00 +7.1%
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes 947 0.505 $478.36 $14.26 +3.1%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 2,143 0.215 $460.75 $10.33 +2.3%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 642 0.685 $439.77 $-88.39 -16.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 694 0.625 $433.75 $280.26 +182.6%
Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 440 0.960 $422.52 $57.54 +15.8%