PnL (30d)

+$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

81W / 16L · 65 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

116W / 45L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

162

across 44 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.09

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.38

$10 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

0.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.5% 81W/16L	44	$478
🏛 Politics	—	8	$48
💵 Economy	—	4	$21

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	55	0.927	$50.70	$4.75	+10.3%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	46	0.986	$45.21	$8.26	+22.4%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	35	0.746	$26.09	$5.97	+29.7%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	11	0.740	$7.97	$-0.03	-0.4%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	2	0.675	$1.02	$0.02	+2.3%