Trader
0x2ef2f13f30e523197e9e66afa2f2620f02fbfaa5
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$202
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+15.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
410W / 173L
Win Return (30d)
70%
410W / 173L
Trades (30d)
583
across 73 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$2.77
avg win $8 · loss $3
Profit Factor
2.74
$318 won / $116 lost
Reward / Risk
2.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,434 · all-time $329,374
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? |
No |
80 |
0.095 |
$7.60 |
$-4.00 |
-34.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? |
Yes |
20 |
0.250 |
$5.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6? |
Yes |
10 |
0.390 |
$3.90 |
$0.10 |
+2.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6? |
Yes |
40 |
0.055 |
$2.20 |
$0.20 |
+10.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
68 |
0.011 |
$0.75 |
$0.61 |
+450.0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 6? |
Yes |
10 |
0.060 |
$0.60 |
$0.30 |
+100.0% |