| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
8,131 |
0.886 |
$7,208.27 |
$1,478.09 |
+25.8% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
5,341 |
0.875 |
$4,673.05 |
$834.78 |
+21.7% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
4,912 |
0.865 |
$4,248.48 |
$200.26 |
+4.9% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
2,922 |
0.920 |
$2,688.02 |
$514.50 |
+23.7% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
3,013 |
0.795 |
$2,395.41 |
$764.78 |
+46.9% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? |
No |
1,903 |
0.915 |
$1,741.60 |
$146.47 |
+9.2% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? |
No |
1,646 |
0.964 |
$1,587.07 |
$231.48 |
+17.1% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? |
No |
1,401 |
0.938 |
$1,313.77 |
$261.95 |
+24.9% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
1,061 |
0.730 |
$774.32 |
$270.61 |
+53.7% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? |
No |
802 |
0.900 |
$722.05 |
$48.14 |
+7.1% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
734 |
0.904 |
$663.75 |
$136.07 |
+25.8% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
605 |
0.995 |
$601.98 |
$99.83 |
+19.9% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
642 |
0.885 |
$568.25 |
$64.48 |
+12.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
988 |
0.515 |
$508.83 |
$-147.20 |
-22.4% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? |
No |
472 |
0.933 |
$440.39 |
$36.12 |
+8.9% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? |
Yes |
404 |
0.973 |
$393.09 |
$9.22 |
+2.4% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? |
Yes |
1,079 |
0.355 |
$382.97 |
$14.39 |
+3.9% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? |
Yes |
401 |
0.935 |
$374.94 |
$38.09 |
+11.3% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? |
Yes |
1,134 |
0.290 |
$328.96 |
$-38.28 |
-10.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
822 |
0.372 |
$306.02 |
$-9.28 |
-2.9% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
922 |
0.290 |
$267.35 |
$-155.51 |
-36.8% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
932 |
0.281 |
$261.90 |
$-14.44 |
-5.2% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? |
No |
320 |
0.795 |
$254.38 |
$-15.55 |
-5.8% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%? |
No |
222 |
0.943 |
$209.36 |
$5.77 |
+2.8% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
207 |
0.925 |
$191.04 |
$15.49 |
+8.8% |