Log in
Trader leaderboard/AlphaPengu1n

AlphaPengu1n

0x2ecb34e1cb95b3c8d9d3e2905668d3eee03a7645
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
42W / 21L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
42W / 34L
Trades (30d)
76
across 9 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$1.06
avg win $38 · loss $54
Profit Factor
0.95
$153 won / $161 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,275 · all-time $5,471,568

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.4% 3,634W/3,867L 1697 $168,742
⚽ Sports 46.7% 419W/478L 332 $19,568
🎬 Culture 100.0% 69W/0L 6 $684
🏛 Politics 1 $18
💵 Economy 1 $18

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? No 524 0.954 $499.63 $18.08 +3.8%
Spread: Toronto Argonauts (-2.5) Calgary Stampeders 559 0.565 $315.68 $58.64 +22.8%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 116 0.905 $105.19 $6.65 +6.7%
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? No 146 0.670 $97.82 $13.85 +16.5%
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? No 104 0.902 $94.09 $4.07 +4.5%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions KT Wiz 160 0.525 $84.02 $57.24 +213.7%
KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5 Under 100 0.485 $48.50 $5.50 +12.8%
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? No 41 0.986 $40.83 $0.85 +2.1%
Overwatch: Twisted Minds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group A Twisted Minds 80 0.505 $40.48 $21.49 +113.2%
Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-05? Yes 37 0.989 $36.11 $3.28 +10.0%
LoL: Brod n Friends vs Epic Avalanche (BO3) - NLC Regular Season Brod n Friends 52 0.640 $33.40 $1.69 +5.3%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Over 46 0.695 $31.97 $11.23 +54.1%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-05? No 50 0.605 $30.25 $1.25 +4.3%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? Yes 73 0.305 $22.30 $5.88 +35.8%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-05? No 34 0.645 $22.21 $5.78 +35.1%
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-06? No 103 0.175 $18.04 $-5.87 -24.6%
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes 48 0.355 $17.04 $1.68 +10.9%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-05? No 82 0.195 $16.02 $3.20 +24.9%
ITF Frankfurt: Dennis Andre Dutine vs Bengt Johan Reinhard Bengt Johan Reinhard 16 1.000 $15.99 $8.56 +115.2%
Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-08-05? No 75 0.180 $13.50 $1.00 +8.0%
Patriots vs. Seahawks Patriots 29 0.335 $9.71 $1.59 +19.6%
Will Hammarby IF FF win on 2026-08-05? No 90 0.095 $8.56 $0.10 +1.2%
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No 18 0.390 $7.02 $0.18 +2.6%
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? No 20 0.338 $6.75 $0.09 +1.3%
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Siena Saints (W) Siena Saints 10 0.510 $5.10 $-4.20 -45.2%