| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
712 |
0.853 |
$607.08 |
$107.09 |
+21.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
429 |
0.855 |
$366.74 |
$66.74 |
+22.2% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
354 |
0.790 |
$279.30 |
$118.30 |
+73.5% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
226 |
0.785 |
$177.10 |
$82.97 |
+88.1% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
143 |
0.895 |
$128.31 |
$35.12 |
+37.7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
127 |
0.900 |
$114.52 |
$14.44 |
+14.4% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.948 |
$94.80 |
$0.80 |
+0.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.375 |
$75.00 |
$-15.00 |
-16.7% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
76 |
0.886 |
$67.73 |
$33.06 |
+95.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
179 |
0.345 |
$61.71 |
$11.71 |
+23.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
60 |
0.705 |
$42.29 |
$9.30 |
+28.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.675 |
$40.50 |
$5.10 |
+14.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
No |
277 |
0.115 |
$31.84 |
$-8.15 |
-20.4% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? |
Yes |
85 |
0.350 |
$29.85 |
$-15.14 |
-33.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
180 |
0.160 |
$28.80 |
$2.00 |
+7.5% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.945 |
$28.35 |
$8.85 |
+45.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
430 |
0.037 |
$16.12 |
$-51.47 |
-76.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? |
Yes |
112 |
0.105 |
$11.74 |
$-5.26 |
-31.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.025 |
$11.02 |
$-51.97 |
-82.5% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
113 |
0.086 |
$9.62 |
$2.62 |
+37.4% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
28 |
0.276 |
$7.75 |
$5.87 |
+313.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.013 |
$6.75 |
$-16.75 |
-71.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.875 |
$6.57 |
$3.14 |
+91.8% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
142 |
0.044 |
$6.30 |
$1.30 |
+26.1% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
250 |
0.022 |
$5.62 |
$0.62 |
+12.5% |