PnL (30d)

−$319

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$25

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-25.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

60W / 65L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

61W / 74L

Trades (30d)

135

across 47 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$7.25

avg win $19 · loss $27

Profit Factor

0.53

$361 won / $680 lost

Reward / Risk

0.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.0% 60W/65L	47	$1,534
🏛 Politics	—	1	$8

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	70	0.905	$63.35	$12.95	+25.7%
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?	No	53	0.855	$45.59	$12.09	+36.1%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	569	0.060	$34.14	$-22.45	-39.7%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	621	0.019	$12.11	$-10.25	-45.8%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	Yes	150	0.079	$11.78	$-6.22	-34.6%