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Trader leaderboard/peivon98

peivon98

0x2e68845170af9dcf46c1e477d688205a90276898
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
2W / 12L · 134 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
81W / 63L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
148
across 41 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.50
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.08
$1 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,046 · all-time $286,911

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.8% 132W/60L 161 $27,382
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 15 $2,637
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $966
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $1,063
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 5 $567
₿ Crypto 4 $820
🎬 Culture 2 $370
🔬 Science 1 $115
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $40

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 304 0.989 $300.31 $0.30 +0.1%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 495 0.595 $294.57 $-7.43 -2.5%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 495 0.405 $200.47 $2.47 +1.2%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 132 0.986 $129.74 $-0.26 -0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 131 0.988 $129.54 $-0.46 -0.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 146 0.856 $124.90 $-1.24 -1.0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No 128 0.972 $123.94 $-0.06 -0.1%
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No 116 0.995 $114.95 $-0.06 -0.1%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 123 0.845 $103.70 $-4.30 -4.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 102 0.978 $99.45 $-0.56 -0.6%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 102 0.977 $99.37 $-0.63 -0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? No 26 1.000 $26.06 $0.07 +0.3%
Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? No 10 0.998 $10.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Human moon landing in 2026? No 5 0.982 $5.07 $0.07 +1.4%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 26 0.165 $4.34 $-5.66 -56.6%
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings? No 4 0.505 $1.84 $-0.16 -8.2%
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No 2 0.755 $1.26 $0.26 +25.8%
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? Yes 5 0.105 $0.53 $-1.47 -73.7%
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? Yes 2 0.195 $0.43 $-0.57 -56.7%