| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? |
Yes |
300 |
0.954 |
$286.20 |
$16.98 |
+6.3% |
| Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
289 |
0.866 |
$250.31 |
$0.87 |
+0.3% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
266 |
0.855 |
$227.46 |
$12.59 |
+5.9% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
245 |
0.925 |
$226.31 |
$137.86 |
+155.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
300 |
0.705 |
$211.35 |
$-1.03 |
-0.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
187 |
0.987 |
$184.29 |
$2.21 |
+1.2% |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? |
No |
283 |
0.590 |
$166.97 |
$-22.89 |
-12.1% |
| Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? |
No |
147 |
0.946 |
$139.38 |
$-0.88 |
-0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
234 |
0.555 |
$130.01 |
$1.17 |
+0.9% |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? |
No |
171 |
0.755 |
$129.10 |
$18.08 |
+16.3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
498 |
0.245 |
$122.08 |
$-28.94 |
-19.2% |
| Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? |
No |
275 |
0.390 |
$107.25 |
$30.25 |
+39.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? |
No |
581 |
0.170 |
$98.83 |
$5.73 |
+6.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
300 |
0.305 |
$91.44 |
$22.49 |
+32.6% |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? |
No |
131 |
0.685 |
$89.73 |
$-2.65 |
-2.9% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? |
No |
81 |
0.999 |
$81.26 |
$13.31 |
+19.6% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? |
Yes |
218 |
0.330 |
$71.99 |
$-2.18 |
-2.9% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
Yes |
92 |
0.670 |
$61.66 |
$0.93 |
+1.5% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
No |
173 |
0.330 |
$57.16 |
$-9.25 |
-13.9% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? |
Yes |
56 |
0.996 |
$55.44 |
$4.00 |
+7.8% |
| Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
55 |
0.972 |
$53.43 |
$3.93 |
+7.9% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
No |
127 |
0.416 |
$52.83 |
$7.04 |
+15.4% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
No |
915 |
0.044 |
$40.71 |
$-3.41 |
-7.7% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
Yes |
300 |
0.105 |
$31.50 |
$4.50 |
+16.7% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.024 |
$29.36 |
$-151.25 |
-83.7% |