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Trader leaderboard/0x0820-3

0x0820-3

0x2e1f908b32bced89c0010fad8f35c469cfbd8fde
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$49
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
183W / 150L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
204W / 161L
Trades (30d)
365
across 91 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.60
avg win $8 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.20
$294 won / $245 lost
Reward / Risk
1.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$67
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,031 · all-time $3,972,394

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.9% 3,103W/2,766L 870 $130,063
🌤 Weather 55.0% 183W/150L 91 $1,009
🏛 Politics 50.0% 10W/10L 70 $62
💵 Economy 28 $15
⚽ Sports 15 $191
🤖 Tech 15 $10
🎬 Culture 8 $8
₿ Crypto 8 $3
🔬 Science 2 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 70 0.280 $19.60 $-1.40 -6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? No 90 0.195 $17.50 $-5.99 -25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? No 13 0.710 $9.58 $5.53 +136.7%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? No 20 0.300 $6.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? No 20 0.300 $6.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? No 20 0.265 $5.30 $-0.70 -11.7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? No 10 0.440 $4.40 $0.90 +25.7%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? No 10 0.435 $4.35 $0.85 +24.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5? No 4 1.000 $4.17 $2.92 +233.2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? No 10 0.410 $4.10 $0.60 +17.1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? No 10 0.395 $3.95 $0.45 +12.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? No 10 0.390 $3.90 $0.40 +11.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 20 0.180 $3.60 $-2.40 -40.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? No 10 0.350 $3.50 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? No 10 0.345 $3.45 $-0.05 -1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? No 10 0.325 $3.25 $-0.25 -7.1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? No 10 0.270 $2.70 $-0.80 -22.9%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? No 2 0.995 $1.99 $1.39 +231.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5? No 2 1.000 $1.58 $1.03 +185.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? No 20 0.075 $1.50 $-4.50 -75.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? No 3 0.380 $1.17 $0.09 +8.6%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5? No 20 0.030 $0.60 $-5.40 -90.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? No 20 0.030 $0.60 $-5.40 -90.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? No 30 0.015 $0.45 $-8.05 -94.7%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5? No 90 0.004 $0.40 $-23.09 -98.3%