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Trader leaderboard/0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589

0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589

0x2e1c6e971cff5c3259090d3dea7802a15e4edb61
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 2L
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,783 · all-time $65,802

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 80.0% 48W/12L 40 $7,762
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 12 $1,702
💵 Economy — 7 $1,650
🏛 Politics — 2 $398
🎬 Culture — 1 $5
🌤 Weather — 1 $5
🔬 Science — 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? Yes 3,380 0.645 $2,179.94 $-554.97 -20.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? Yes 2,158 0.780 $1,683.04 $-137.52 -7.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 1,200 0.865 $1,038.00 $7.00 +0.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 1,110 0.785 $871.35 $16.25 +1.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? Yes 2,198 0.365 $802.23 $-541.82 -40.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No 306 0.895 $274.23 $3.02 +1.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No 284 0.870 $246.85 $20.72 +9.2%
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? Yes 178 0.905 $161.31 $6.24 +4.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 679 0.235 $159.61 $-49.82 -23.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No 174 0.885 $153.67 $-0.87 -0.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 150 0.825 $123.74 $2.25 +1.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No 127 0.964 $122.11 $1.58 +1.3%
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? No 119 0.962 $114.17 $9.06 +8.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No 105 0.964 $101.21 $2.38 +2.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No 100 0.972 $97.20 $1.20 +1.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 100 0.945 $94.50 $-0.50 -0.5%
Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO? No 43 0.959 $41.23 $1.23 +3.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No 40 0.959 $38.36 $0.36 +0.9%
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 109 0.250 $27.18 $-22.83 -45.7%
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 67 0.305 $20.50 $-20.95 -50.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 20 0.957 $19.13 $2.85 +17.5%
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.945 $18.88 $0.10 +0.5%
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes 125 0.135 $16.88 $9.38 +125.0%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? No 59 0.255 $15.14 $4.95 +48.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.075 $15.00 $-3.00 -16.7%