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Trader leaderboard/0x2df9846123020B713DF044C2de80658ad2ecEffb-1764940894320

0x2df9846123020B713DF044C2de80658ad2ecEffb-1764940894320

0x2df9846123020b713df044c2de80658ad2eceffb
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$18
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+24.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
13W / 0L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
17W / 7L
Trades (30d)
24
across 5 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$8.79
avg win $9
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10 · all-time $636,359

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 100.0% 15W/0L 11 $272
💵 Economy 100.0% 13W/0L 5 $58
🏛 Politics 100.0% 13W/0L 2 $52

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? Yes 227 0.205 $46.47 $-1.22 -2.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? Yes 166 0.190 $31.61 $-6.73 -17.6%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%? No 9 0.989 $8.78 $0.57 +7.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? No 10 0.705 $7.05 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? Yes 239 0.022 $5.25 $4.27 +436.8%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? Yes 146 0.022 $3.28 $-3.18 -49.2%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? No 5 0.655 $3.19 $-0.03 -0.9%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%? Yes 237 0.013 $3.08 $-9.29 -75.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December? Yes 24 0.105 $2.48 $0.56 +29.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2 0.975 $2.43 $0.01 +0.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.545 $0.85 $-0.38 -31.0%