PnL (30d)

+$4

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

78%

131W / 38L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

78%

135W / 39L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

181

across 90 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.05

avg win $1 · loss $6

Profit Factor

1.05

$92 won / $87 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$23

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	77.5% 131W/38L	90	$1,446
🏛 Politics	88.9% 8W/1L	5	$47
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	3	$27
⚽ Sports	75.0% 3W/1L	3	$51
₿ Crypto	66.7% 2W/1L	3	$41
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	40	1.000	$40.03	$0.02	+0.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	20	0.999	$20.00	$-0.01	-0.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	7	0.460	$3.31	$0.52	+18.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	5	0.540	$2.88	$0.13	+4.7%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	3	0.600	$1.59	$0.24	+17.6%