| Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? |
No |
565 |
0.758 |
$428.71 |
$-25.02 |
-5.5% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? |
No |
300 |
0.845 |
$253.50 |
$-15.50 |
-5.8% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.705 |
$211.50 |
$-54.50 |
-20.5% |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? |
Yes |
288 |
0.719 |
$206.89 |
$-41.63 |
-16.8% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? |
Yes |
273 |
0.643 |
$175.66 |
$-8.78 |
-4.8% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
288 |
0.540 |
$155.39 |
$-8.15 |
-5.0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
No |
279 |
0.540 |
$150.41 |
$-32.50 |
-17.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? |
Yes |
220 |
0.505 |
$111.10 |
$-13.57 |
-10.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? |
Yes |
240 |
0.445 |
$106.80 |
$-65.20 |
-37.9% |
| Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
120 |
0.851 |
$102.12 |
$-10.40 |
-9.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
127 |
0.770 |
$97.72 |
$-4.23 |
-4.1% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? |
No |
120 |
0.805 |
$96.60 |
$-5.00 |
-4.9% |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
130 |
0.730 |
$94.91 |
$-10.72 |
-10.2% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.785 |
$94.20 |
$-3.80 |
-3.9% |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.595 |
$89.25 |
$-8.75 |
-8.9% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
No |
130 |
0.675 |
$87.75 |
$-4.98 |
-5.4% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? |
No |
120 |
0.725 |
$87.00 |
$-17.00 |
-16.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? |
No |
97 |
0.808 |
$78.47 |
$-2.15 |
-2.7% |
| Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? |
No |
120 |
0.645 |
$77.40 |
$-17.00 |
-18.0% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.641 |
$76.92 |
$-7.88 |
-9.3% |
| Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? |
No |
99 |
0.773 |
$76.52 |
$-13.23 |
-14.7% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? |
No |
97 |
0.780 |
$75.58 |
$-4.18 |
-5.2% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July? |
No |
120 |
0.625 |
$75.00 |
$-12.20 |
-14.0% |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.250 |
$75.00 |
$-32.00 |
-29.9% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.485 |
$72.75 |
$-14.75 |
-16.9% |