| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
30,000 |
0.790 |
$23,715.00 |
$8,715.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
10,877 |
0.987 |
$10,730.60 |
$610.24 |
+6.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
9,000 |
0.835 |
$7,515.00 |
$-135.00 |
-1.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.209 |
$6,285.00 |
$-8,715.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
5,450 |
0.987 |
$5,376.14 |
$395.76 |
+7.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
1,817 |
0.964 |
$1,751.27 |
$240.77 |
+15.9% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
No |
1,253 |
0.765 |
$958.58 |
$144.10 |
+17.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.26 |
$67.90 |
+8.4% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? |
No |
888 |
0.880 |
$781.50 |
$45.79 |
+6.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.745 |
$744.99 |
$180.00 |
+31.9% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.735 |
$735.00 |
$120.00 |
+19.5% |
| Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? |
No |
682 |
0.765 |
$521.67 |
$85.27 |
+19.5% |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 |
Pacquiao |
1,000 |
0.485 |
$485.20 |
$123.51 |
+34.1% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.905 |
$452.49 |
$184.70 |
+69.0% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.875 |
$437.50 |
$57.50 |
+15.1% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
Yes |
603 |
0.275 |
$165.70 |
$-168.81 |
-50.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.177 |
$88.75 |
$-88.25 |
-49.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.905 |
$70.76 |
$17.59 |
+33.1% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
300 |
0.110 |
$33.00 |
$-78.00 |
-70.3% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? |
No |
31 |
0.975 |
$30.32 |
$2.96 |
+10.8% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? |
No |
27 |
0.845 |
$22.77 |
$11.72 |
+106.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
189 |
0.110 |
$20.78 |
$-51.00 |
-71.1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.011 |
$10.50 |
$-39.50 |
-79.0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? |
No |
15 |
0.630 |
$9.45 |
$1.95 |
+26.0% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31? |
Yes |
41 |
0.150 |
$6.08 |
$-1.22 |
-16.7% |