| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
9,056 |
0.915 |
$8,286.23 |
$4,726.57 |
+132.8% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
No |
7,847 |
0.972 |
$7,623.18 |
$5,283.19 |
+225.8% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
No |
7,884 |
0.954 |
$7,521.74 |
$5,117.57 |
+212.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
6,751 |
0.964 |
$6,507.59 |
$3,327.60 |
+104.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5,432 |
0.935 |
$5,078.83 |
$4,350.85 |
+597.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
3,255 |
0.875 |
$2,848.21 |
$1,348.22 |
+89.9% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
2,660 |
1.000 |
$2,658.41 |
$2,258.42 |
+564.6% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? |
No |
3,546 |
0.345 |
$1,222.86 |
$728.83 |
+147.5% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
1,297 |
0.865 |
$1,122.16 |
$642.16 |
+133.8% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,355 |
0.790 |
$1,070.35 |
$572.47 |
+115.0% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
No |
1,255 |
0.765 |
$960.40 |
$205.06 |
+27.1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
977 |
0.815 |
$796.09 |
$526.09 |
+194.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
923 |
0.855 |
$789.22 |
$549.23 |
+228.8% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Yes |
1,032 |
0.665 |
$686.03 |
$428.13 |
+166.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
651 |
0.942 |
$612.46 |
$378.28 |
+161.5% |
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
610 |
0.995 |
$606.78 |
$365.06 |
+151.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
667 |
0.885 |
$589.99 |
$290.00 |
+96.7% |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? |
Yes |
6,790 |
0.077 |
$522.84 |
$-1,889.27 |
-78.3% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
No |
758 |
0.675 |
$511.41 |
$413.41 |
+421.9% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
675 |
0.693 |
$467.41 |
$258.29 |
+123.5% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
603 |
0.740 |
$445.86 |
$275.18 |
+161.2% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
593 |
0.750 |
$444.12 |
$230.80 |
+108.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
535 |
0.830 |
$443.82 |
$263.82 |
+146.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
598 |
0.605 |
$361.85 |
$180.03 |
+99.0% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
374 |
0.956 |
$357.24 |
$257.25 |
+257.3% |