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Trader

0x2d21e67a19f0ee68f36e720b9883146e8df36dfe
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
8W / 2L · 63 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
37W / 36L
Trades (30d)
73
across 9 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$0.23
avg win $1 · loss $0
Profit Factor
13.14
$1 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
13.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $99 · all-time $233,043

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.0% 64W/92L 42 $553
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $65
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $5
⚽ Sports 3 $10
🤖 Tech 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Sean Brady in his next UFC bout? Yes 24 0.465 $11.11 $10.40 +1450.0%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 8 0.978 $7.59 $2.60 +52.0%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 10 0.735 $7.32 $2.33 +46.6%
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? No 7 0.840 $6.00 $1.00 +20.0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No 5 0.938 $5.14 $0.15 +3.1%
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes 11 0.465 $5.04 $0.06 +1.1%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 4 0.978 $4.10 $1.62 +65.6%
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-05-31? No 7 0.500 $3.65 $2.12 +138.1%
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 5 0.675 $3.50 $1.28 +57.4%
Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 80.5 9 0.390 $3.41 $-1.22 -26.4%
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No 4 0.817 $3.27 $0.31 +10.4%
UK Recession in 2026? No 3 0.875 $3.03 $1.36 +81.9%
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 3 0.875 $2.27 $1.02 +82.0%
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026? No 3 0.705 $2.16 $1.64 +314.7%
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes 3 0.735 $2.05 $0.54 +35.8%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 83.5 5 0.400 $2.00 $-0.35 -14.9%
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? No 4 0.485 $1.90 $-0.12 -6.1%
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? No 2 0.740 $1.75 $0.38 +27.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? Yes 5 0.285 $1.42 $0.17 +14.0%
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes 3 0.515 $1.33 $0.23 +21.0%
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 123 0.010 $1.23 $-0.49 -28.6%
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? Yes 4 0.265 $1.19 $-1.10 -48.1%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 1 0.996 $1.09 $0.23 +26.0%
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026? No 1 0.895 $1.07 $0.33 +44.4%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes 2 0.635 $0.95 $0.10 +11.4%