PnL (30d)

−$760

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$24

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-81.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

6%

22W / 334L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

7%

25W / 335L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

363

across 76 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$10.71

avg win $64 · loss $16

Profit Factor

0.30

$321 won / $1,081 lost

Reward / Risk

3.92

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$37

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	6.2% 22W/334L	76	$1,917
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/26L	2	$12
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/26L	2	$12
⚽ Sports	71.4% 5W/2L	2	$164

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	2,995	0.002	$4.49	$1.50	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	911	0.002	$1.82	$0.91	+100.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	21	0.052	$1.09	$0.09	+9.4%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	21	0.050	$1.05	$0.05	+5.3%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	36	0.025	$0.91	$-0.09	-9.3%