| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.545 |
$109.00 |
$-10.00 |
-8.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.515 |
$103.00 |
$-35.00 |
-25.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
200 |
0.515 |
$102.99 |
$-7.00 |
-6.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.420 |
$84.00 |
$-30.00 |
-26.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.375 |
$75.00 |
$-25.00 |
-25.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
979 |
0.055 |
$53.86 |
$5.55 |
+11.5% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
100 |
0.510 |
$51.00 |
$-14.00 |
-21.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
658 |
0.065 |
$42.78 |
$3.29 |
+8.3% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
100 |
0.375 |
$37.50 |
$-22.50 |
-37.5% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.125 |
$31.25 |
$-1.25 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
100 |
0.295 |
$29.50 |
$-21.50 |
-42.2% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
191 |
0.112 |
$21.34 |
$0.13 |
+0.6% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.164 |
$16.33 |
$-1.75 |
-9.7% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
Yes |
230 |
0.067 |
$15.41 |
$0.46 |
+3.1% |
| Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? |
Yes |
210 |
0.059 |
$12.39 |
$-5.59 |
-31.1% |
| Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.768 |
$7.68 |
$-1.56 |
-16.9% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? |
No |
20 |
0.369 |
$7.39 |
$-3.01 |
-28.9% |
| Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2026 TOUR Championship? |
No |
5 |
0.946 |
$4.73 |
$-0.02 |
-0.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? |
Yes |
58 |
0.055 |
$3.21 |
$-1.46 |
-31.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
1,005 |
0.002 |
$1.51 |
$-20.59 |
-93.2% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.978 |
$0.98 |
$0.03 |
+3.3% |
| Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.004 |
$0.70 |
$-20.50 |
-96.7% |