PnL (30d)

−$17

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$588

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 8L · 101 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

49W / 60L

Trades (30d)

109

across 60 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$5.65

· loss $6

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $17 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.6% 41W/60L	118	$53,683
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	11	$6,014
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$4,229
🎬 Culture	—	1	$438

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

133 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	15,497	0.375	$5,811.38	$-1,353.85	-18.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	4,823	0.835	$4,027.20	$-120.57	-2.9%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	1,558	0.855	$1,332.42	$538.64	+67.9%
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	No	1,442	0.585	$843.28	$66.61	+8.6%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	740	0.981	$725.94	$263.11	+56.8%
Will Nevada have the closest Governor's race in 2026?	No	791	0.915	$723.44	$59.72	+9.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	1,039	0.695	$722.24	$-67.66	-8.6%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	Yes	769	0.865	$665.18	$19.22	+3.0%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	1,384	0.478	$661.40	$-190.18	-22.3%
Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	1,081	0.520	$562.08	$-10.53	-1.8%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?	Yes	577	0.885	$510.64	$66.41	+14.9%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	597	0.825	$492.78	$58.89	+13.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?	Yes	577	0.845	$487.56	$25.96	+5.6%
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	No	708	0.685	$484.98	$47.35	+10.8%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	577	0.840	$484.68	$22.44	+4.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?	Yes	577	0.830	$478.91	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	577	0.830	$478.91	$5.77	+1.2%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?	Yes	578	0.825	$476.85	$20.23	+4.4%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	577	0.775	$447.18	$80.74	+22.0%
Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	No	727	0.610	$443.47	$-50.18	-10.2%
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	No	661	0.664	$439.23	$40.10	+10.0%
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	577	0.705	$406.78	$8.65	+2.2%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?	Yes	384	0.865	$332.16	$9.60	+3.0%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	857	0.365	$312.81	$158.54	+102.8%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	751	0.415	$311.70	$41.31	+15.3%