| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
1,299 |
0.986 |
$1,280.35 |
$3.45 |
+0.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
649 |
0.940 |
$610.49 |
$9.26 |
+1.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
532 |
0.950 |
$505.32 |
$5.32 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
502 |
0.993 |
$498.24 |
$-1.76 |
-0.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.988 |
$494.04 |
$7.09 |
+1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
501 |
0.968 |
$484.41 |
$-1.71 |
-0.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
486 |
0.987 |
$479.80 |
$-0.53 |
-0.1% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
333 |
0.920 |
$306.67 |
$6.67 |
+2.2% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
312 |
0.966 |
$301.88 |
$1.88 |
+0.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
300 |
0.940 |
$282.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
300 |
0.830 |
$249.00 |
$6.00 |
+2.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.976 |
$195.10 |
$-0.10 |
-0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.982 |
$98.15 |
$3.85 |
+4.1% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
100 |
0.979 |
$97.85 |
$0.15 |
+0.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
97 |
1.000 |
$96.56 |
$1.50 |
+1.6% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
71 |
0.605 |
$42.95 |
$4.55 |
+11.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
100 |
0.295 |
$29.50 |
$-0.50 |
-1.7% |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
25 |
0.805 |
$20.37 |
$-0.13 |
-0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.120 |
$12.04 |
$-2.51 |
-17.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
100 |
0.105 |
$10.50 |
$-0.50 |
-4.5% |
| Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
15 |
0.695 |
$10.42 |
$0.47 |
+4.8% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? |
Yes |
58 |
0.175 |
$10.21 |
$-2.04 |
-16.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.543 |
$3.76 |
$-0.31 |
-7.6% |