| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4,146 |
0.835 |
$3,461.91 |
$-36.51 |
-1.0% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
3,592 |
0.907 |
$3,258.10 |
$61.23 |
+1.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,624 |
0.823 |
$2,981.03 |
$72.87 |
+2.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
3,917 |
0.685 |
$2,683.31 |
$-22.85 |
-0.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
5,880 |
0.356 |
$2,096.36 |
$-66.94 |
-3.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,953 |
0.987 |
$1,926.91 |
$104.66 |
+5.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
2,100 |
0.853 |
$1,790.29 |
$136.36 |
+8.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.675 |
$1,687.50 |
$203.50 |
+13.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,823 |
0.875 |
$1,595.12 |
$18.93 |
+1.2% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
1,570 |
0.979 |
$1,537.03 |
$31.80 |
+2.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.745 |
$1,490.00 |
$-23.99 |
-1.6% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
1,460 |
0.992 |
$1,447.57 |
$49.27 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,475 |
0.865 |
$1,275.88 |
$63.15 |
+5.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
1,347 |
0.920 |
$1,238.86 |
$38.07 |
+3.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,309 |
0.935 |
$1,223.84 |
$53.33 |
+4.6% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
2,853 |
0.375 |
$1,069.69 |
$-134.69 |
-11.2% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.885 |
$1,062.00 |
$-27.00 |
-2.5% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
700 |
0.974 |
$681.78 |
$30.80 |
+4.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
975 |
0.695 |
$677.53 |
$31.24 |
+4.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,800 |
0.375 |
$675.00 |
$-63.00 |
-8.5% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
666 |
0.940 |
$625.86 |
$13.32 |
+2.2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
625 |
0.935 |
$584.38 |
$21.88 |
+3.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
650 |
0.845 |
$549.25 |
$14.25 |
+2.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
680 |
0.603 |
$410.03 |
$-65.06 |
-13.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
421 |
0.455 |
$191.46 |
$1.10 |
+0.6% |