| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
15,344 |
0.675 |
$10,356.89 |
$1,504.27 |
+17.0% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
5,426 |
0.967 |
$5,244.30 |
$603.22 |
+13.0% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
7,351 |
0.410 |
$3,014.08 |
$-802.38 |
-21.0% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
3,602 |
0.795 |
$2,863.96 |
$187.08 |
+7.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
33,203 |
0.065 |
$2,158.18 |
$166.01 |
+8.3% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
No |
6,076 |
0.345 |
$2,095.51 |
$628.40 |
+42.8% |
| Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? |
Yes |
3,116 |
0.630 |
$1,963.21 |
$193.46 |
+10.9% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
2,849 |
0.680 |
$1,937.03 |
$72.90 |
+3.9% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
41,206 |
0.045 |
$1,874.86 |
$-309.41 |
-14.2% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
2,940 |
0.604 |
$1,774.56 |
$-20.24 |
-1.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
1,741 |
0.968 |
$1,684.62 |
$1,035.25 |
+159.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
6,372 |
0.261 |
$1,659.91 |
$231.22 |
+16.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
1,687 |
0.971 |
$1,637.33 |
$1,011.27 |
+161.5% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
Yes |
1,633 |
0.865 |
$1,412.62 |
$181.81 |
+14.8% |
| Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 12–16%? |
No |
1,543 |
0.910 |
$1,404.39 |
$435.99 |
+45.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
1,272 |
0.993 |
$1,262.81 |
$788.53 |
+166.3% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
2,982 |
0.360 |
$1,073.58 |
$434.93 |
+68.1% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
879 |
0.951 |
$835.19 |
$114.67 |
+15.9% |
| Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
1,014 |
0.790 |
$800.85 |
$35.55 |
+4.6% |
| Will United Russia win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections? |
Yes |
670 |
0.958 |
$642.17 |
$69.41 |
+12.1% |
| Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? |
No |
2,431 |
0.245 |
$595.58 |
$-121.81 |
-17.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
663 |
0.715 |
$474.01 |
$189.85 |
+66.8% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
530 |
0.715 |
$378.99 |
$29.15 |
+8.3% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? |
No |
451 |
0.805 |
$362.88 |
$94.61 |
+35.3% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,945 |
0.115 |
$338.65 |
$10.93 |
+3.3% |