PnL (30d)

−$190

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

79W / 68L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

84W / 70L

Trades (30d)

154

across 82 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$2.47

avg win $6 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.56

$242 won / $432 lost

Reward / Risk

0.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$25

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.7% 79W/68L	82	$1,846
⚽ Sports	44.4% 12W/15L	16	$182
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$127
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	4	$60
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	2	$87

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August?	Yes	38	0.905	$33.98	$13.98	+69.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	20	0.880	$17.60	$2.60	+17.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	23	0.305	$6.89	$-0.11	-1.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	41	0.165	$6.70	$0.20	+3.1%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	31	0.155	$4.84	$-5.16	-51.6%