Zpdl
0x2b560ec206b35b03cb25e1f423a16ea233f5d1e1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$45
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
36W / 6L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
54W / 23L
Trades (30d)
77
across 5 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
+$15.08
avg win $48 · loss $1
Profit Factor
18.29
$48 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
36.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,909 · all-time $154,157
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
392 |
0.685 |
$268.83 |
$-8.29 |
-3.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
77 |
0.885 |
$67.77 |
$-0.53 |
-0.8% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
26 |
0.907 |
$23.36 |
$0.15 |
+0.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.935 |
$15.73 |
$-0.09 |
-0.6% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 |
Under |
6 |
0.700 |
$4.22 |
$-0.78 |
-15.7% |