| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
35 |
0.705 |
$24.67 |
$2.97 |
+13.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
27 |
0.805 |
$21.44 |
$9.44 |
+78.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
20 |
1.000 |
$20.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.986 |
$9.86 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
476 |
0.019 |
$9.29 |
$-8.03 |
-46.4% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
364 |
0.024 |
$8.74 |
$-11.26 |
-56.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
6 |
0.999 |
$6.00 |
$-0.00 |
-0.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
56 |
0.095 |
$5.35 |
$-16.65 |
-75.7% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.955 |
$5.29 |
$0.06 |
+1.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
119 |
0.037 |
$4.41 |
$1.01 |
+29.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
62 |
0.060 |
$3.75 |
$-16.25 |
-81.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.955 |
$2.67 |
$0.04 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.495 |
$2.48 |
$0.02 |
+1.0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.994 |
$2.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
9 |
0.195 |
$1.81 |
$-2.36 |
-56.7% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
157 |
0.007 |
$1.18 |
$-38.82 |
-97.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? |
Yes |
80 |
0.004 |
$0.36 |
$-1.64 |
-82.0% |