Trader
0x2b407c1091b0e0de5fa5e6d96a2edda2cee3ced4
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$357
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+10.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
275W / 440L
Win Return (30d)
38%
275W / 440L
Trades (30d)
715
across 91 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$3.93
avg win $23 · loss $13
Profit Factor
1.58
$979 won / $621 lost
Reward / Risk
1.84
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$52
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,010 · all-time $362,911
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
42.2%
1,195W/1,640L
|
388 |
$28,338 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
41.6%
87W/122L
|
22 |
$1,853 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
200 |
0.001 |
$0.10 |
$-18.18 |
-99.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? |
No |
42 |
0.001 |
$0.02 |
$-1.98 |
-99.0% |