tiredShip
0x2aae07fd1388d00b5a4d425fdfc6ea13e9a5a80c
PnL (30d)
−$1,415
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
85%
92W / 16L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
100W / 26L
Trades (30d)
126
across 37 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$52.39
avg win $11 · loss $562
Profit Factor
0.16
$272 won / $1,686 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $458 · all-time $441,884
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
230 |
0.968 |
$222.53 |
$3.10 |
+1.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.632 |
$17.71 |
$-8.95 |
-33.6% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.982 |
$9.81 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? |
No |
5 |
0.885 |
$4.42 |
$-0.53 |
-10.6% |
| Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.700 |
$3.50 |
$-0.60 |
-14.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.700 |
$3.50 |
$0.05 |
+1.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
5 |
0.545 |
$2.73 |
$-0.07 |
-2.7% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.114 |
$1.14 |
$-8.23 |
-87.9% |