| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,345 |
0.146 |
$1,222.50 |
$219.47 |
+21.9% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
11,285 |
0.090 |
$1,021.28 |
$177.09 |
+21.0% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
759 |
0.856 |
$649.29 |
$13.09 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? |
Yes |
367 |
0.700 |
$257.25 |
$35.09 |
+15.8% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,919 |
0.086 |
$249.61 |
$49.61 |
+24.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
505 |
0.358 |
$180.85 |
$-29.15 |
-13.9% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
183 |
0.860 |
$157.32 |
$7.32 |
+4.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
159 |
0.935 |
$148.41 |
$48.41 |
+48.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
236 |
0.485 |
$114.47 |
$4.47 |
+4.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
249 |
0.455 |
$113.09 |
$3.09 |
+2.8% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
168 |
0.615 |
$103.36 |
$-26.64 |
-20.5% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
186 |
0.515 |
$95.94 |
$-9.06 |
-8.6% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
149 |
0.625 |
$93.28 |
$-6.72 |
-6.7% |
| Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? |
No |
100 |
0.700 |
$70.00 |
$35.00 |
+100.0% |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9? |
Yes |
200 |
0.309 |
$61.80 |
$-8.20 |
-11.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
85 |
0.710 |
$60.17 |
$10.17 |
+20.3% |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? |
Yes |
61 |
0.870 |
$53.05 |
$3.05 |
+6.1% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.265 |
$53.01 |
$-47.99 |
-47.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.900 |
$52.59 |
$1.59 |
+3.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
57 |
0.835 |
$47.44 |
$-2.56 |
-5.1% |
| Government shutdown by October 1? |
No |
57 |
0.790 |
$45.01 |
$5.01 |
+12.5% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
62 |
0.580 |
$36.14 |
$-3.86 |
-9.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
49 |
0.655 |
$31.95 |
$11.95 |
+59.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
47 |
0.675 |
$31.85 |
$0.85 |
+2.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
124 |
0.215 |
$26.66 |
$-83.34 |
-75.8% |