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Trader leaderboard/seekReturns

seekReturns

0x2a75388b9addd6082889dbde5141b6fe03307d66
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$51
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
30W / 53L · 138 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
116W / 103L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
221
across 22 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$8.52
avg win $1 · loss $18
Profit Factor
0.08
$4 won / $55 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$26
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $470 · all-time $94,099

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.0% 201W/315L 54 $7,051
🏛 Politics 15.0% 3W/17L 12 $469
💵 Economy 75.0% 3W/1L 4 $173
🤖 Tech 1 $137
🌤 Weather 1 $25
🔬 Science 1 $25

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 69 0.865 $59.56 $0.92 +1.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 52 0.969 $50.36 $-0.25 -0.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 50 0.835 $41.74 $-1.07 -2.5%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 56 0.680 $38.08 $-2.28 -5.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 36 0.962 $34.62 $-0.51 -1.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 28 0.959 $26.84 $-0.18 -0.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 28 0.835 $23.38 $2.45 +11.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 55 0.385 $21.02 $-2.92 -12.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 18 0.976 $17.56 $-0.06 -0.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 15 0.963 $14.44 $0.10 +0.7%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 12 0.964 $11.58 $0.03 +0.3%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 12 0.935 $11.22 $0.06 +0.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 10 0.972 $9.71 $0.10 +1.0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 13 0.625 $8.12 $-3.19 -28.2%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 19 0.375 $7.12 $1.71 +31.5%