PnL (30d)

+$1,262

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

26%

60W / 168L · 41 open

Win Return (30d)

27%

72W / 196L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

269

across 84 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$26.86

avg win $396 · loss $247

Profit Factor

1.19

$7,921 won / $6,659 lost

Reward / Risk

1.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$109

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	26.3% 60W/168L	84	$14,595
⚽ Sports	7.7% 2W/24L	2	$221

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?	Yes	150	0.950	$142.50	$4.50	+3.3%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Yes	65	0.935	$60.38	$1.61	+2.7%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	69	0.825	$56.55	$-5.14	-8.3%
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	Yes	56	0.955	$53.68	$5.34	+11.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat?	Yes	343	0.145	$49.75	$-5.98	-10.7%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	57	0.840	$47.93	$9.78	+25.6%
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	142	0.309	$43.90	$9.12	+26.2%
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	100	0.430	$43.00	$14.00	+48.3%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	117	0.345	$40.26	$-0.18	-0.4%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	49	0.785	$38.48	$3.50	+10.0%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?	Yes	41	0.925	$37.60	$2.24	+6.3%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?	Yes	41	0.895	$37.12	$2.91	+8.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	43	0.855	$36.44	$-1.06	-2.8%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	41	0.845	$34.86	$3.97	+12.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	47	0.700	$33.07	$22.01	+199.1%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	39	0.795	$30.87	$3.64	+13.4%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	36	0.840	$30.27	$2.45	+8.8%
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	33	0.870	$28.82	$2.78	+10.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?	Yes	31	0.935	$28.69	$1.69	+6.2%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	34	0.830	$28.37	$3.43	+13.7%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	95	0.290	$27.55	$5.70	+26.1%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	33	0.765	$25.57	$18.29	+251.5%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	Yes	31	0.825	$25.29	$0.46	+1.9%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	560	0.044	$24.64	$-68.69	-73.6%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	30	0.770	$22.95	$19.97	+670.0%