PnL (30d)

+$0

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$194

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

—

no 30d activity

Win Return (30d)

26%

165W / 477L · 40 open

Trades (30d)

682

across 86 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

—

no settled positions

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	—	86	$3,441
💵 Economy	—	1	$3
🤖 Tech	—	1	$3

Open positions

72 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.095	$19.00	$-0.15	-0.8%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	150	0.125	$18.75	$-6.25	-25.0%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	102	0.145	$14.73	$-0.77	-5.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	Yes	103	0.135	$13.95	$-1.05	-7.0%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	100	0.125	$12.50	$0.50	+4.2%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?	Yes	200	0.060	$12.00	$-7.67	-39.0%
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	109	0.105	$11.43	$-6.57	-36.5%
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	150	0.075	$11.25	$-1.75	-13.5%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	68	0.165	$11.21	$0.32	+2.9%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	Yes	53	0.210	$11.18	$-0.82	-6.8%
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	Yes	237	0.045	$10.68	$-0.77	-6.8%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	100	0.100	$10.00	$-2.50	-20.0%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	60	0.165	$9.90	$0.38	+4.0%
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	104	0.095	$9.87	$-2.63	-21.1%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	53	0.185	$9.79	$-0.21	-2.1%
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	53	0.185	$9.74	$-0.26	-2.6%
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	Yes	127	0.075	$9.55	$-4.07	-29.9%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $400B by December 31?	Yes	106	0.090	$9.55	$-0.03	-0.4%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	Yes	100	0.095	$9.50	$-0.50	-5.0%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?	Yes	75	0.125	$9.41	$-1.26	-11.8%
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	145	0.065	$9.41	$-0.24	-2.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	53	0.175	$9.27	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?	Yes	101	0.090	$9.09	$-2.33	-20.4%
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?	Yes	48	0.190	$9.05	$-0.19	-2.1%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31?	Yes	50	0.180	$9.00	$0.28	+3.2%