Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x2a15e54c76e1ff2811749f4930f66b23c4e5f2a3
PnL (30d)
−$2
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
8W / 5L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
8W / 6L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
16
across 11 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.20
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.22
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11 · all-time $21,478

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.5% 8W/5L 11 $57
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $8
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $3
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 6 0.955 $5.74 $0.21 +3.8%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 5 0.981 $5.15 $2.06 +66.9%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 19 0.086 $1.64 $0.64 +64.4%
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? No 2 0.960 $1.58 $0.10 +6.7%
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.940 $1.29 $0.29 +28.8%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1 0.865 $1.11 $0.11 +10.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 1 0.945 $1.10 $0.10 +9.9%
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? No 1 0.977 $1.04 $0.04 +3.9%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes 2 0.590 $1.03 $0.04 +3.5%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 1 0.952 $1.03 $0.03 +3.4%
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? Yes 1 0.972 $1.03 $0.03 +3.4%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.955 $1.03 $0.03 +2.7%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.069 $0.46 $-0.54 -54.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes 2 0.085 $0.13 $-0.87 -87.1%
Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? Yes 6 0.003 $0.01 $-0.99 -98.5%