| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
19,523 |
1.000 |
$19,513.09 |
$196.30 |
+1.0% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
14,957 |
0.889 |
$13,303.85 |
$815.51 |
+6.5% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
12,191 |
0.904 |
$11,021.02 |
$1,051.17 |
+10.5% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
10,732 |
0.996 |
$10,688.79 |
$246.05 |
+2.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
10,737 |
0.962 |
$10,329.16 |
$1,114.39 |
+12.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
9,725 |
0.945 |
$9,190.28 |
$738.62 |
+8.7% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
8,322 |
0.987 |
$8,209.49 |
$58.20 |
+0.7% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
7,715 |
0.915 |
$7,063.42 |
$501.55 |
+7.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
7,020 |
0.987 |
$6,925.22 |
$316.77 |
+4.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
5,989 |
0.955 |
$5,719.33 |
$130.52 |
+2.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5,018 |
0.980 |
$4,917.45 |
$312.98 |
+6.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
4,618 |
0.985 |
$4,546.13 |
$26.12 |
+0.6% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
4,000 |
0.980 |
$3,918.00 |
$154.00 |
+4.1% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,759 |
0.945 |
$3,552.67 |
$159.56 |
+4.7% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
3,030 |
0.978 |
$2,963.33 |
$90.45 |
+3.1% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
3,089 |
0.955 |
$2,950.03 |
$62.12 |
+2.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2,643 |
0.935 |
$2,471.52 |
$146.08 |
+6.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
2,237 |
0.935 |
$2,091.60 |
$12.81 |
+0.6% |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.962 |
$1,923.01 |
$89.00 |
+4.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
2,111 |
0.885 |
$1,868.49 |
$-7.22 |
-0.4% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.908 |
$1,816.99 |
$62.50 |
+3.6% |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,603 |
0.978 |
$1,567.36 |
$67.93 |
+4.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? |
Yes |
1,461 |
0.988 |
$1,443.47 |
$19.45 |
+1.4% |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? |
No |
1,312 |
0.960 |
$1,259.06 |
$100.82 |
+8.7% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? |
No |
1,234 |
0.996 |
$1,228.28 |
$66.88 |
+5.8% |