| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.976 |
$9,755.00 |
$455.00 |
+4.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.945 |
$4,725.00 |
$525.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
4,500 |
0.635 |
$2,857.49 |
$7.51 |
+0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.935 |
$1,870.00 |
$50.00 |
+2.7% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
1,800 |
0.981 |
$1,764.90 |
$67.50 |
+4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.555 |
$1,664.93 |
$45.04 |
+2.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.745 |
$1,490.00 |
$430.00 |
+40.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.955 |
$1,432.50 |
$65.69 |
+4.8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.680 |
$1,359.99 |
$100.00 |
+7.9% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
4,971 |
0.255 |
$1,267.71 |
$74.62 |
+6.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
4,500 |
0.261 |
$1,172.25 |
$-117.75 |
-9.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,958 |
0.278 |
$1,098.36 |
$268.75 |
+32.4% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.146 |
$879.01 |
$519.10 |
+144.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat? |
Yes |
750 |
0.825 |
$618.75 |
$18.75 |
+3.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.298 |
$597.00 |
$457.01 |
+326.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.145 |
$579.99 |
$-587.12 |
-50.3% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
815 |
0.710 |
$578.49 |
$174.28 |
+43.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.515 |
$514.99 |
$-55.00 |
-9.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.086 |
$513.00 |
$5.01 |
+1.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
3,300 |
0.155 |
$511.50 |
$-478.50 |
-48.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? |
Yes |
500 |
0.945 |
$472.50 |
$-2.50 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? |
Yes |
500 |
0.942 |
$470.75 |
$10.75 |
+2.3% |
| Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? |
Yes |
433 |
0.960 |
$415.70 |
$20.21 |
+5.1% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
500 |
0.785 |
$392.50 |
$-67.50 |
-14.7% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
500 |
0.680 |
$340.00 |
$40.00 |
+13.3% |