Gimme-502
0x29a39d8ecf7122e7b538b96bc714eac2d4dc9b79
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$112
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$313
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
31W / 106L · 48 open
Win Return (30d)
18%
33W / 152L
Trades (30d)
185
across 12 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$22.31
avg win $3 · loss $29
Profit Factor
0.02
$3 won / $114 lost
Reward / Risk
0.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $5,201,665
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.50 |
$-52.50 |
-14.0% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.595 |
$119.00 |
$-37.00 |
-23.7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
557 |
0.074 |
$41.19 |
$-31.17 |
-43.1% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.790 |
$39.50 |
$-2.50 |
-6.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
271 |
0.088 |
$23.95 |
$0.41 |
+1.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
No |
153 |
0.115 |
$17.63 |
$0.77 |
+4.5% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.054 |
$0.45 |
$-1.04 |
-69.7% |